Victor leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Victor typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victor, ~14% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victor leans more Republican than 29 of 50 neighbors.
Victor runs about 55 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Victor is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Victor. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Victor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Victor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Victor votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Victor runs about 55 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Victor runs against that pattern.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Victor, CA does.
Why turnout in Victor looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 44% of households in Victor rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in Victor have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Victor have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lodi, CA R+8
- Lockeford, CA R+27
- Woodbridge, CA R+23
- Acampo, CA R+46
- Waterloo, CA R+40
- Collierville, CA R+42
- August, CA D+15
- Stockton, CA D+4
- Clements, CA R+51
- Galt, CA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mattoon, WI R+51
- McMeekin, FL R+51
- Dubois, IN R+59
- Hayne, NC R+56
- Renfroe, AL R+5
- Oak Ridge, MO R+72
- Richmond, MA D+40
- East Avon, NY R+14
- Seymour, IA R+59
- Wamac, IL R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.