Victoria leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 95% of adults in Victoria typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victoria, ~29% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victoria compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victoria leans more Republican than 28 of 57 neighbors.
Victoria runs about 49 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Victoria is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Victoria leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Victoria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 93% of residents in Victoria drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Victoria runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Victoria, IL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Victoria looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Victoria have completed high school, about 6 points above the Illinois average of 92%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Victoria own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dahinda, IL R+36
- Altona, IL R+38
- Williamsfield, IL R+43
- La Fayette, IL R+43
- Oneida, IL R+37
- West Jersey, IL R+54
- Wataga, IL R+30
- Laura, IL R+42
- Galva, IL R+30
- Bishop Hill, IL R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blodgett, OR Even
- Cherry Fork, OH R+69
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Almyra, AR R+81
- Dutton, MT R+57
- Waite Hill, OH R+19
- Long Pine, NE R+73
- Cornatzer, NC R+55
- McNair, MS D+80
- Gainesville, AL D+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.