Victoria leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Victoria typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victoria, ~52% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~-10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victoria compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victoria leans more Republican than 45 of 89 neighbors.
Victoria runs about 9 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Victoria. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Victoria leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Victoria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Victoria votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 57%, far above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Victoria are family households, above 97% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Victoria, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Victoria looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Victoria is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Victoria own their home, compared to around 79% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Victoria have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chaska, MN D+2
- Shorewood, MN D+11
- Excelsior, MN D+16
- Chanhassen, MN D+7
- Tonka Bay, MN D+16
- Minnetrista, MN R+5
- St. Bonifacius, MN R+11
- Mound, MN D+6
- Spring Park, MN D+13
- Waconia, MN R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shady Hills, FL R+48
- Cynthiana, KY R+45
- Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO D+79
- Eastman, GA R+28
- Georgetown, IN R+41
- Cochran, GA R+38
- Cushing, OK R+47
- St. Clair, MO R+52
- Senatobia, MS R+14
- Brookings, OR R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.