Vineland leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Vineland typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vineland, ~30% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vineland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vineland leans more Democratic than 42 of 59 neighbors.
Vineland runs about 19 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Vineland is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Vineland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vineland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Vineland hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Vineland sits in the top fifth on density (about 71%, above 92% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Vineland have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Vineland, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Vineland looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 66% of households in Vineland rent, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Buena Vista, FL D+2
- Bay Lake, FL R+13
- Doctor Phillips, FL R+5
- Hunters Creek, FL D+6
- Celebration, FL R+16
- Southchase, FL D+9
- Horizon West, FL R+7
- Windermere, FL R+13
- Kissimmee, FL D+3
- Oak Ridge, FL D+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kellnersville, WI R+47
- Alba, PA R+56
- Hinmansville, NY R+30
- Lake Creek, GA R+76
- Wallonia, KY R+50
- Deschutes Junction, OR R+17
- Eddyville, IL R+59
- Berlin, TN R+65
- Marie, WV R+69
- Cornersville, MS R+74
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.