Kissimmee, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kissimmee

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kissimmee is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Kissimmee typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kissimmee, ~29% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kissimmee compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kissimmee leans more Democratic than 28 of 48 neighbors.

Kissimmee runs about 16 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Kissimmee is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kissimmee. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 10 points.

Why Kissimmee leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kissimmee, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Kissimmee votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Kissimmee runs about 16 points more Democratic.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Kissimmee, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Kissimmee looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kissimmee is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 9 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Kissimmee rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.