Celebration leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Celebration typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Celebration, ~32% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Celebration compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Celebration leans more Republican than 40 of 53 neighbors.
Politically, Celebration sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why Celebration leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Celebration, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Celebration votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Celebration, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Celebration looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Celebration have completed high school, about 9 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Intercession City, FL Even
- Vineland, FL D+6
- Lake Buena Vista, FL D+2
- Bay Lake, FL R+13
- Four Corners, FL R+6
- Davenport, FL R+6
- Kissimmee, FL D+3
- Hunters Creek, FL D+6
- Doctor Phillips, FL R+5
- Horizon West, FL R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pennsville, NJ R+27
- Kenton, OH R+51
- Rocky Point, NC R+36
- Rockwood, TN R+59
- Heath, TX R+45
- Bonne Terre, MO R+48
- Moscow, PA R+22
- Alpine, UT R+47
- Pennsburg, PA R+16
- Summit, IL D+24
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.