Vista Santa Rosa leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Vista Santa Rosa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vista Santa Rosa, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vista Santa Rosa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vista Santa Rosa leans more Democratic than 12 of 22 neighbors.
Vista Santa Rosa runs about 11 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vista Santa Rosa. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Vista Santa Rosa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vista Santa Rosa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 35% of residents in Vista Santa Rosa live in densely developed areas, above 82% of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Vista Santa Rosa have never been married, above 85% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Vista Santa Rosa, CA does.
Why turnout in Vista Santa Rosa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Vista Santa Rosa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Vista Santa Rosa report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coachella, CA D+22
- Valerie, CA D+13
- La Quinta, CA Even
- Indio, CA D+8
- One Hundred Palms, CA D+19
- Thermal, CA D+11
- Oasis, CA D+25
- Indian Wells, CA R+3
- Mecca, CA D+26
- Desert Palms, CA D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pensacola, OK R+65
- Oconee, IL R+65
- Box, OK R+62
- Elderton, PA R+61
- Carp Lake, MI R+25
- Virgil, NY R+35
- Central, IN R+59
- Texline, TX R+81
- Schurz, NV R+17
- Eyedylwild Beach, MI R+35
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.