Waco is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Waco typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waco, ~10% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waco compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Waco leans more Republican than 51 of 76 neighbors.
Waco runs about 40 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Waco leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Waco. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Waco, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Waco looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Waco is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lynnville, TN R+69
- Rich, TN R+70
- Southport, TN R+34
- Culleoka, TN R+62
- Campbellsville, TN R+71
- Screamer, TN R+70
- Odd Fellows Hall, TN R+62
- Riversburg, TN R+60
- New Town, TN R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Discovery Bay, WA D+25
- Flat Top, WV R+69
- Gulston, KY R+76
- Dollarville, MI R+28
- New Holland Crossroads, SC R+67
- Hillsboro, MS D+11
- Tucker Terrace, NY R+28
- New Millport, PA R+66
- Hightower, AL R+87
- Usibelli, AK R+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.