Waller is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Waller typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waller, ~36% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waller compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Waller is the most Republican-leaning.
Waller runs about 22 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Waller is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Waller. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Waller leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Waller, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Waller votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Waller runs about 22 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Waller, Tacoma, WA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Waller looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 86% of households in Waller own their home, about 13 points above the Washington average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Coral Ridge Country Club Estates, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+12
- West Village, Oxnard, CA D+29
- Castlemont, Oakland, CA D+63
- Schoolcraft Southfield, Detroit, MI D+88
- Southwood Valley, College Station, TX D+13
- Glenham-Belhar, Baltimore, MD D+74
- Indianola Hills, Des Moines, IA D+15
- Covell Park, Davis, CA D+72
- Forest Park, Baltimore, MD D+86
- Central Business District, Cincinnati, OH D+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.