Waller leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Waller typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waller, ~21% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waller compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Waller leans more Republican than 14 of 34 neighbors.
Waller runs about 21 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Waller. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 62 points.
Why Waller leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Waller. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Waller, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Waller looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Waller is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prairie View, TX D+47
- Hockley, TX R+35
- Pine Island, TX R+22
- Hempstead, TX R+17
- Monaville, TX R+38
- Todd Mission, TX R+64
- Whitehall, TX R+51
- Stagecoach, TX R+61
- Plantersville, TX R+65
- Cochran, TX R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jamestown, TN R+68
- Greenlawn, NY D+3
- East Rutherford, NJ D+5
- Eatonville, WA R+35
- Winooski, VT D+57
- Villas, NJ R+22
- Pine Bush, NY R+25
- Bee Ridge, FL R+16
- Paola, KS R+35
- Oakvale, WV R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.