Hempstead leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Hempstead typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hempstead, ~21% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hempstead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hempstead leans more Republican than 4 of 40 neighbors.
Politically, Hempstead sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hempstead. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+57), a spread of about 81 points.
Why Hempstead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hempstead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in Hempstead are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hempstead sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hempstead, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hempstead looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hempstead is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Hempstead rent, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pine Island, TX R+22
- Prairie View, TX D+47
- Cochran, TX R+40
- Raccoon Bend, TX R+46
- Waller, TX R+35
- Sauney Stand, TX R+51
- Monaville, TX R+38
- Courtney, TX R+27
- Chappell Hill, TX R+56
- Whitehall, TX R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Princeton, KY R+51
- Southwick, MA R+15
- Richfield, UT R+67
- Magalia, CA R+19
- Roscommon, MI R+25
- Rutland, MA R+8
- Cheswick, PA R+7
- Dumfries, VA D+41
- Medina, NY R+23
- Louisa, KY R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.