Walnut Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Walnut Grove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Grove, ~8% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Grove leans more Republican than 43 of 59 neighbors.
Walnut Grove runs about 40 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Walnut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Walnut Grove hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Walnut Grove sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 86% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Walnut Grove are family households, above 88% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Walnut Grove, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Walnut Grove looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Walnut Grove is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Walnut Grove have completed high school, below 75% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cord, AR R+72
- Charlotte, AR R+69
- Dowdy, AR R+68
- Saffell, AR R+75
- Sulphur Rock, AR R+68
- Gainsboro, AR R+65
- Shelbyville, AR R+69
- Newark, AR R+70
- Hickory Valley, AR R+69
- Strawberry, AR R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Munsell, MO R+67
- Dunlo, PA R+48
- Trade River, WI R+41
- Strandquist, MN R+54
- Basin, MT R+38
- Taylors Store, NC D+17
- Bowers, PA R+33
- Oak Hills, PA R+22
- Lombardsville, OH R+56
- Rawl, WV R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.