Hickory Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Hickory Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Valley, ~9% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Valley leans more Republican than 31 of 56 neighbors.
Hickory Valley runs about 38 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Hickory Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Hickory Valley are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hickory Valley fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hickory Valley, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hickory Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hickory Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Hickory Valley have completed high school, below 78% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cave City, AR R+65
- Gainsboro, AR R+65
- Sandtown, AR R+69
- Charlotte, AR R+69
- Maxville, AR R+71
- Moorefield, AR R+42
- Sulphur Rock, AR R+68
- Walnut Grove, AR R+70
- Batesville, AR R+49
- Shelbyville, AR R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Addieville, IL R+60
- West Aurora, MO R+67
- Burgess, NC R+46
- Placerville, CO D+44
- Redmond, UT R+75
- West Pittsburg, PA R+43
- Scottown, OH R+65
- Warrentown, MA R+2
- Lakeville, NY R+19
- Windsor Mill, MD D+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.