Warren County is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Warren County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren County, ~38% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Warren County sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 5 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.
Warren County runs about 15 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Warren County sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Warren County. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Warren County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warren County votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Warren County runs about 15 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warren County, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Warren County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warren County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Washington County, NY R+23
- Saratoga County, NY Even
- Rutland County, VT R+9
- Hamilton County, NY R+26
- Fulton County, NY R+28
- Bennington County, VT D+17
- Schenectady County, NY D+17
- Montgomery County, NY R+24
- Rensselaer County, NY D+6
- Albany County, NY D+30
Counties with Similar Populations
- Adams County, IL R+40
- Mason County, WA R+5
- Sauk County, WI R+20
- Tehama County, CA R+35
- Armstrong County, PA R+52
- Starr County, TX R+7
- Harrison County, WV R+41
- Wilkes County, NC R+57
- Marquette County, MI Even
- Apache County, AZ D+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.