Wawarsing leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Wawarsing typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wawarsing, ~17% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wawarsing compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wawarsing leans more Republican than 66 of 130 neighbors.
Wawarsing runs about 20 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Wawarsing is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wawarsing. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Wawarsing leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wawarsing, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Wawarsing live in densely developed areas, about 31 points below the New York average of 36%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Wawarsing sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities). Wawarsing runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Wawarsing, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Wawarsing looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 54% of adults in Wawarsing have completed high school, about 36 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Napanoch, NY R+15
- Ellenville, NY D+6
- Kerhonkson, NY D+4
- Granite, NY D+32
- Spring Glen, NY R+20
- Cragsmoor, NY R+22
- Ulster Heights, NY R+25
- Accord, NY D+16
- Rutsonville, NY R+11
- Yagerville, NY R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Weston, TX R+45
- Clarksville City, TX R+72
- Whites Crossing, MS R+80
- Emmalena, KY R+68
- Pinewood Springs, CO D+31
- Wallisville, TX R+61
- Douglas City, FL D+36
- Coy, MO R+77
- Goodwins Mills, ME R+32
- Trowbridge Park, MI D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.