Cragsmoor, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Cragsmoor

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Cragsmoor leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 75% of adults in Cragsmoor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cragsmoor, ~29% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Cragsmoor compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Cragsmoor leans more Republican than 99 of 132 neighbors.

Cragsmoor runs about 34 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cragsmoor is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cragsmoor. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Cragsmoor leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cragsmoor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Cragsmoor votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cragsmoor runs about 34 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Cragsmoor are family households, above 82% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cragsmoor, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Cragsmoor looks the way it does

Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Cragsmoor have completed high school, about 6 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.