Welch leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Welch typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Welch, ~26% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Welch compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Welch leans more Republican than 32 of 57 neighbors.
Welch runs about 37 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Welch is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Welch. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Welch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Welch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Welch votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Welch runs about 37 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Welch, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Welch looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Welch is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miesville, MN R+39
- Vasa, MN R+42
- Hager City, WI R+34
- Red Wing, MN R+8
- New Trier, MN R+44
- White Rock, MN R+39
- Prescott, WI R+18
- Hastings, MN R+11
- Esdaile, WI R+34
- Cannon Falls, MN R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spiveys Corner, NC R+55
- Battle Creek, NE R+68
- Hoagland, IN R+55
- New Madison, OH R+66
- Dysart, IA R+36
- Castorland, NY R+51
- Waldron, IN R+55
- Seadrift, TX R+58
- Dauphin Island, AL R+62
- New Salem, PA R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.