Westchase leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Westchase typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Westchase, ~36% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Westchase compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Westchase leans more Republican than 17 of 69 neighbors.
Westchase runs about 7 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Westchase. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Westchase leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Westchase, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Westchase votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 65%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Westchase, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Westchase looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Westchase have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Citrus Park, FL R+5
- Town 'n' Country, FL R+6
- Oldsmar, FL R+16
- Keystone, FL R+27
- Northdale, FL R+5
- Safety Harbor, FL R+6
- East Lake, FL R+21
- Egypt Lake-Leto, FL R+5
- Lake Magdalene, FL R+8
- Palm Harbor, FL R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Murrells Inlet, SC R+37
- Hazelwood, MO D+37
- Warrensburg, MO R+19
- Albemarle, NC R+34
- Lafayette, CA D+48
- Ennis, TX R+28
- Roanoke, TX R+27
- Gibsonia, PA R+11
- Whiting, NJ R+21
- Cockeysville, MD D+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.