Keystone, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Keystone

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Keystone leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Keystone typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keystone, ~31% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Keystone compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Keystone leans more Republican than 53 of 64 neighbors.

Keystone runs about 14 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Keystone. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Keystone leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keystone, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Keystone votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Keystone are family households, above 95% of cities.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Keystone, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Keystone looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Keystone is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Keystone own their home, compared to around 71% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Keystone have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.