Wharton leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Wharton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wharton, ~25% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wharton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wharton leans more Republican than 7 of 41 neighbors.
Politically, Wharton sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wharton. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+41) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 89 points.
Why Wharton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wharton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wharton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Wharton, TX does.
Why turnout in Wharton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wharton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Wharton rent, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dinsmore, TX R+47
- Mackay, TX R+37
- Sorrelle, TX R+15
- Hungerford, TX R+25
- Lane City, TX R+49
- Glen Flora, TX R+13
- Iago, TX R+60
- Boling, TX R+51
- Kendleton, TX Even
- Pierce, TX R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fairview, TX R+21
- Hazlehurst, GA R+53
- Wayland, MI R+31
- Pleasant Hill, MO R+42
- Thief River Falls, MN R+29
- The Pinery, CO R+23
- Westwood Lakes, FL R+43
- North Smithfield, RI R+3
- Loudon, TN R+56
- Marshall, MI R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.