White Clay is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 59% of adults in White Clay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in White Clay, ~47% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How White Clay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, White Clay leans more Democratic than 6 of 12 neighbors.
White Clay runs about 66 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while White Clay is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within White Clay. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+48), a spread of about 15 points.
Why White Clay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for White Clay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
White Clay votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while White Clay runs about 66 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in White Clay have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; White Clay, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in White Clay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. White Clay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in White Clay report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in White Clay have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nazlini, AZ D+51
- Wheatfields, AZ D+61
- Sawmill, AZ D+61
- Chinle, AZ D+61
- Tsaile, AZ D+62
- Navajo, NM D+50
- Woodsprings, AZ D+55
- Lukachukai, AZ D+64
- Many Farms, AZ D+61
- Tahchee, AZ D+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Davisburg, KY R+77
- Darrouzett, TX R+83
- Gotha, MN R+41
- Yatesboro, PA R+59
- Alpha, MN R+56
- Crockett, AR R+63
- Hawkeye, MO R+72
- Finesville, NJ R+29
- West Leroy, MI R+39
- North View, VA R+23
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.