Williamsburg is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Williamsburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Williamsburg, ~71% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Williamsburg compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Williamsburg leans more Democratic than 12 of 31 neighbors.
Williamsburg runs about 47 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Williamsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Williamsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 83% of adults in Williamsburg hold a bachelor's degree, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Williamsburg sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 89% of neighborhoods).
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Williamsburg, Arlington, VA does.
Why turnout in Williamsburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Williamsburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Williamsburg own their home, compared to around 59% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Arlington-East Falls, Arlington, VA D+57
- Rock Spring, Arlington, VA D+43
- Madison Condominium, Falls Church, VA D+45
- Waverly Hills, Arlington, VA D+49
- Donaldson Run, Arlington, VA D+57
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Pimmit Hills, Falls Church, VA D+33
- Cherrydale, Arlington, VA D+57
- Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA D+58
- Buckingham, Arlington, VA D+52
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Park Estates, Long Beach, CA D+32
- Sagepointe, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Olympia, Wellington, FL Even
- Chatham-Arch, Indianapolis, IN D+57
- Hidden Springs, West Linn, OR D+39
- Westchester Estates, Indianapolis, IN D+55
- Maxwell, Tulsa, OK D+7
- Lake Floresta Park, Boca Raton, FL R+7
- Nicholtown, Greenville, SC D+64
- Three Points, Columbia, SC D+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.