Buckingham is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Buckingham typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buckingham, ~39% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buckingham compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Buckingham leans more Democratic than 12 of 50 neighbors.
Buckingham runs about 47 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Buckingham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buckingham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Buckingham live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Buckingham sits in the top quarter (about 67%, above 88% of neighborhoods).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Buckingham, Arlington, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Buckingham looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 12% of homes in Buckingham have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of neighborhoods. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 70% of households in Buckingham rent, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Buckingham sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ashton Heights, Arlington, VA D+62
- Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA D+58
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Barcroft, Arlington, VA D+48
- Lyon Park, Arlington, VA D+56
- Columbia Heights West, Arlington, VA D+40
- Forest Glen, Arlington, VA D+43
- Douglas Park, Arlington, VA D+53
- Columbia Forest, Arlington, VA D+51
- Clarendon, Arlington, VA D+60
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Natomas Corporate Center, Sacramento, CA D+16
- Central City East, Los Angeles, CA D+41
- North Waltham, Waltham, MA D+33
- Home Gardens, Corona, CA D+6
- Nottingham, Katy, TX R+24
- Eiber, Lakewood, CO D+30
- Jefferson Westside, Eugene, OR D+71
- Belvidere, Lowell, MA D+22
- Arbor Lodge, Portland, OR D+75
- Wickham, Coralville, IA D+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.