Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Ballston-Virginia Square

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Ballston-Virginia Square is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in Ballston-Virginia Square typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ballston-Virginia Square, ~56% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Ballston-Virginia Square compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ballston-Virginia Square leans more Democratic than 22 of 48 neighbors.

Ballston-Virginia Square runs about 52 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Ballston-Virginia Square. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+51), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Ballston-Virginia Square leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ballston-Virginia Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 88% of adults in Ballston-Virginia Square hold a bachelor's degree, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 62% of adults in Ballston-Virginia Square have never been married, above 94% of neighborhoods.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Ballston-Virginia Square looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ballston-Virginia Square is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Ballston-Virginia Square have completed high school, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.