Arlington-East Falls is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Arlington-East Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington-East Falls, ~67% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlington-East Falls compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arlington-East Falls leans more Democratic than 18 of 31 neighbors.
Arlington-East Falls runs about 51 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arlington-East Falls. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+51), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Arlington-East Falls leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington-East Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 78% of adults in Arlington-East Falls hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Arlington-East Falls, Arlington, VA does.
Why turnout in Arlington-East Falls looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Arlington-East Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Williamsburg, Arlington, VA D+53
- Madison Condominium, Falls Church, VA D+45
- Rock Spring, Arlington, VA D+43
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Waverly Hills, Arlington, VA D+49
- Pimmit Hills, Falls Church, VA D+33
- Cherrydale, Arlington, VA D+57
- Donaldson Run, Arlington, VA D+57
- Lake Barcroft, Falls Church, VA D+41
- Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA D+58
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Village 11, Sacramento, CA D+32
- Elyria Swansea, Denver, CO D+40
- Downtown Lincoln, Lincoln, NE D+42
- The Hill Section, Scranton, PA D+23
- Midtown, Gary, IN D+84
- Hunters Green, Tampa, FL D+9
- Croydon Park, Rockville, MD D+46
- Fairmont Park, Des Moines, IA D+7
- Firthtown, Phillipsburg, NJ D+8
- Heller Park, Tulsa, OK D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.