Wilmot leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Wilmot typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wilmot, ~22% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wilmot compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wilmot leans more Democratic than 30 of 32 neighbors.
Wilmot runs about 36 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Wilmot is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wilmot. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+86), a spread of about 103 points.
Why Wilmot leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wilmot, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 59% of residents in Wilmot are Black or African American, about 47 points above the Arkansas average of 11%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Wilmot have never been married, above 92% of cities. Wilmot runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Wilmot, AR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Wilmot looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wilmot is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Wilmot report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Parkdale, AR R+47
- Jones, LA R+33
- McGinty, LA R+70
- Sunshine, AR R+56
- Concord, LA R+83
- Bonita, LA R+37
- Berlin, AR R+86
- Portland, AR R+31
- Twin Oaks, LA R+41
- Indian, AR R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stallo, MS R+6
- Tanglewood Acres, CO R+6
- Hallam, NE R+49
- North Star, OH R+80
- Bradshaw, WV R+76
- Diamondville, WY R+58
- Modena, PA D+40
- Rutledge, MN R+45
- Gillett Corner, MA R+14
- Eucutta, MS R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.