Winter Gardens leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Winter Gardens typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Winter Gardens, ~26% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Winter Gardens compares
Winter Gardens sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Winter Gardens runs about 41 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Winter Gardens is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Winter Gardens. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Winter Gardens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Winter Gardens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Winter Gardens votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Winter Gardens runs about 41 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Winter Gardens, Lakeside, CA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Winter Gardens looks the way it does
Turnout in Winter Gardens sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Sky Ranch, Santee, CA R+15
- Granite Hills, El Cajon, CA R+33
- Lake Murray, San Diego, CA D+20
- San Carlos, San Diego, CA D+25
- Del Cerro, San Diego, CA D+27
- Rolando, San Diego, CA D+42
- College Area, San Diego, CA D+41
- Allied Gardens, San Diego, CA D+25
- Tierrasanta, San Diego, CA D+20
- Darnall, San Diego, CA D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- North Shores, North Bay Village, FL R+7
- Granville Gardens, Chicago, IL D+40
- Whittier, Minneapolis, MN D+72
- Hillsdale, San Mateo, CA D+50
- North Broadway, Newark, NJ D+32
- Virginia-Highland, Atlanta, GA D+53
- Midvale Park, Tucson, AZ D+35
- Van Nest, Bronx, NY D+19
- Carrick, Pittsburgh, PA D+18
- Columbia City, Seattle, WA D+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.