North Shores, North Bay Village, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in North Shores

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

North Shores leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.

 

About 54% of adults in North Shores typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Shores, ~25% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How North Shores compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Shores is the most Republican-leaning.

North Shores runs about 6 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within North Shores. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+15) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 11 points.

Why North Shores leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in North Shores. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; North Shores, North Bay Village, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in North Shores looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Shores is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 8 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 61% of households in North Shores rent, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and North Shores sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.