01438 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 01438 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 01438, ~46% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~-7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 01438 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 01438 leans more Republican than 18 of 21 neighbors.
01438 runs about 39 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while 01438 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 01438 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 01438, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
01438 votes against the grain of Massachusetts. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while 01438 runs about 39 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 01438 are family households, above 78% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 01438, MA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 01438 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 01438 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.