02812 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 95% of adults in 02812 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 02812, ~43% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 02812 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 02812 leans more Republican than 13 of 21 neighbors.
02812 runs about 23 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while 02812 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 02812 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 02812, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in 02812 are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 02812 runs against the grain of Rhode Island, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 02812, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 02812 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 02812 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in 02812 own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 02812 have completed high school, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.