02921 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in 02921 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 02921, ~39% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 02921 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 02921 leans more Republican than 37 of 46 neighbors.
02921 runs about 19 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while 02921 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 02921. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 02921 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 02921, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 02921 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 02921 runs against the grain of Rhode Island, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 02921, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 02921 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 02921 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 02921 own their home, compared to around 64% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 02921 have completed high school, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.