03054 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 89% of adults in 03054 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03054, ~47% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03054 leans more Democratic than 19 of 30 neighbors.
Politically, 03054 sits close to the rest of New Hampshire.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03054. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+12) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 03054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 03054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in 03054 hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 03054, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 03054 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03054 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 03054 own their home, compared to around 72% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 03054 have completed high school, above 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.