03281 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 88% of adults in 03281 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03281, ~39% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03281 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03281 leans more Republican than 20 of 22 neighbors.
03281 runs about 15 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and 03281 sits clearly on the Republican side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03281. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+23) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 03281 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 03281, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 74% of households in 03281 are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 03281 runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 03281, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 03281 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03281 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 03281 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.