03812 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 93% of adults in 03812 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03812, ~48% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03812 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03812 leans more Democratic than 7 of 12 neighbors.
Politically, 03812 sits close to the rest of New Hampshire.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03812. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 03812 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 03812. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 03812, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 03812 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03812 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 03812 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.