03861 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 92% of adults in 03861 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03861, ~46% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03861 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03861 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 17 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 16 leaning the other way.
Politically, 03861 sits close to the rest of New Hampshire.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03861. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 03861 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 03861. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 03861, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 03861 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03861 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in 03861 own their home, compared to around 79% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 03861 have completed high school, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.