03869 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 75% of adults in 03869 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03869, ~39% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03869 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03869 leans more Democratic than 14 of 29 neighbors.
Politically, 03869 sits close to the rest of New Hampshire.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03869. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 03869 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 03869. None of them point strongly toward either party.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 03869, NH does.
Why turnout in 03869 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 03869 have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.