04024 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in 04024 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04024, ~34% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04024 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04024 leans more Republican than 9 of 20 neighbors.
04024 runs about 31 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04024 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 04024 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04024, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
04024 votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04024 runs about 31 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 04024, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 04024 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 04024 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 04024 own their home, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.