04357 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 86% of adults in 04357 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04357, ~36% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04357 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04357 leans more Republican than 11 of 20 neighbors.
04357 runs about 23 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04357 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 04357. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 04357 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04357, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
04357 votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04357 runs about 23 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04357, ME sits below the national average on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 04357 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 04357 have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.