04928 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in 04928 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04928, ~21% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04928 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04928 leans more Republican than 16 of 18 neighbors.
04928 runs about 50 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04928 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 04928 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04928, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 04928, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Maine average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 04928 are family households, above 78% of zip codes. 04928 runs against the grain of Maine, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 04928, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 04928 looks the way it does
Turnout in 04928 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.