04937 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 78% of adults in 04937 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04937, ~29% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04937 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04937 leans more Republican than 9 of 14 neighbors.
04937 runs about 33 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04937 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 04937. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 04937 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04937, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 04937, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Maine average of 31%. 04937 runs against the grain of Maine, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 04937, ME sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 04937 looks the way it does
Turnout in 04937 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.