04964 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About more than 99% of adults in 04964 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04964, ~49% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~-5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04964 compares
04964 runs about 13 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04964 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 04964. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 04964 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04964, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in 04964 are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 04964 runs against the grain of Maine, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04964, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 04964 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 04964 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 64% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.