05070 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 78% of adults in 05070 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05070, ~47% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05070 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05070 leans more Democratic than 11 of 29 neighbors.
05070 runs about 13 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why 05070 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05070, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in 05070 hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 05070, VT does.
Why turnout in 05070 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in 05070 have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 05070 own their home, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.