05478 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in 05478 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05478, ~31% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05478 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05478 leans more Republican than 5 of 17 neighbors.
05478 runs about 47 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05478 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05478. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+23) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 05478 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05478, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05478 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05478 runs about 47 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 05478, VT sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 05478 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05478 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 64% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.