07407 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 07407 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 07407, ~26% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 07407 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 07407 leans more Republican than 197 of 241 neighbors.
07407 runs about 12 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07407 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 07407. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 07407 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 07407, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
07407 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the New Jersey average of 63%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 07407 runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 07407, NJ does.
Why turnout in 07407 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 07407 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in 07407 rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in 07407 have more than one occupant per room, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.