07738 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 98% of adults in 07738 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 07738, ~36% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 07738 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 07738 leans more Republican than 39 of 52 neighbors.
07738 runs about 31 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07738 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 07738 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 07738, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
07738 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 63%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 07738 are family households, above 89% of zip codes. 07738 runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 07738, NJ does.
Why turnout in 07738 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 07738 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 07738 own their home, above 85% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 07738 have completed high school, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.