07876 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 92% of adults in 07876 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 07876, ~39% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 07876 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 07876 leans more Republican than 46 of 55 neighbors.
07876 runs about 22 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07876 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 07876 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 07876, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
07876 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 63%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in 07876 are family households, above 98% of zip codes. 07876 runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 07876, NJ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 07876 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 07876 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in 07876 own their home, compared to around 78% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 07876 have completed high school, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.