10704 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 10704 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10704, ~30% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10704 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10704 leans more Democratic than 38 of 172 neighbors.
10704 runs about 8 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10704. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 10704 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 10704. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 10704, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10704 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in 10704 have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of zip codes. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in 10704 rent, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.