10470 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 10470 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10470, ~37% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10470 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10470 leans more Democratic than 105 of 188 neighbors.
10470 runs about 27 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10470. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+70) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 74 points.
Why 10470 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10470, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10470 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10470 sits in the top quarter (about 39%, above 80% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 10470 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 10470, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 10470 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 57% of households in 10470 rent, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in 10470 report food insecurity, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.