10931 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 10931 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10931, ~26% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10931 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10931 leans more Democratic than 24 of 34 neighbors.
10931 runs about 7 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10931. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 10931 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10931, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in 10931 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 24%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 10931, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 10931 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 48% of households in 10931 rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in 10931 have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.