10977 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 10977 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10977, ~24% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10977 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10977 leans more Republican than 54 of 56 neighbors.
10977 runs about 32 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10977 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10977. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+60) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+79), a spread of about 139 points.
Why 10977 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10977, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10977 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 95%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in 10977 are family households, above 97% of zip codes. 10977 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 10977, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10977 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 10977 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 14 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 55% of households in 10977 rent, compared to around 19% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in 10977 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.